Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 175-126 roll
The Minnesota Vikings will try to bounce back after seeing their win streak snapped, and they’ll host the Chicago Bears to wrap up the Week 12 NFL schedule on Monday Night Football. The Vikings (6-5) had won five straight games, but the Broncos ended that with their 21-20 home victory last week. Denver scored the winning touchdown with just over one minute left. The Bears (3-8) blew a 12-point lead in the final five minutes of a 31-26 loss to the Lions in Detroit. The Vikings won this season’s first meeting, 19-13 in Chicago in Week 6, their fifth straight victory in the rivalry.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Minnesota is a three-point favorite in the latest Bears vs. Vikings odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before you make any Vikings vs. Bears picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Bears vs. Vikings 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. Bears:
Bears vs. Vikings spread: Minnesota -3
Bears vs. Vikings over/under: 44 points
Bears vs. Vikings money line: Chicago +127, Minnesota -151
CHI: Bears are 9-14-1 ATS as underdogs since 2022
MIN: Vikings are 6-9 ATS in their past 15 games at home
Bears vs. Vikings picks: See picks at SportsLine
Bears vs. Vikings live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Vikings can cover
Minnesota is 7-3-1 against the spread this season and quarterback Joshua Dobbs has been a revelation since joining the team via trade and taking over for injured Kirk Cousins. Dobbs has thrown for 647 yards and four touchdowns while being intercepted just once in three starts. He also has 131 rushing yards and has a rushing TD in each game. There is at least a chance Justin Jefferson (571 yards in five games) could return from injury, but tight end T.J. Hockenson has been filling in with aplomb.
Hockenson is fifth in the NFL with 75 receptions and leads all tight ends with 736 yards. The Bears have lost 12 consecutive division games (2-12 ATS) and five of those are against the Vikings (4-1 ATS). Minnesota’s defense is allowing just 18.5 points, as the Vikings have gone 6-2 over the past eight games. The unit allows 94 rushing yards per game (seventh in NFL), so they should neutralize Chicago’s strength. Danielle Hunter is second in the league with 12 sacks. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Bears can cover
Monday Night Football has been a low-scoring affair this season, with 12 of the 13 games going under the total. Chicago is 4-6-2 ATS this season, but are 3-3 ATS on the road. They will be eager to rebound from the blown game in Detroit, when Justin Fields ran for 104 yards and D.J. Moore had seven catches for 96 yards. The Bears have the fourth-best rushing offense in the NFL (139.5 yards per game) and Moore is eighth in receiving yards with 889.
Fields has 1,370 passing yards with 12 TDs and has rushed for 341 and one score. He can hit Moore deep, as he is third in the NFL with six TDs over 20 air yards despite missing four games. Moore’s six TDs have all come in Fields starts. Tight end Cole Kmet (49 receptions, five TDs) also has thrived despite the team’s QB issues. The Bears defense allows 3.4 yards per rush, best in the NFL, and linebacker Tremaine Edmunds has two of the team’s nine interceptions. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Bears vs. Vikings picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total, projecting 50 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.