Nicolas Batum shut down Jalen Brunson three years ago in playoffs, but it’s not 2021 anymore

Three years ago, Jalen Brunson had the playoff series of his nightmares. Brunson, then the Dallas Mavericks’ sixth man, scored just 18 points on 7-for-22 shooting in the last four games of the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers. He was minus-56 in 114 total minutes in the series, and logged only 10 minutes in Game 7, a 15-point Clippers win in which Brunson scored two points and watched Trey Burke play over him.

Brunson’s struggles can be attributed, at least in part, to the defense of then-Clippers forward Nicolas Batum, a versatile veteran who rarely makes mistakes, stands 6-foot-8 and has a 7-foot-1 wingspan.

“Batum completely shut down Jalen Brunson last year in the playoffs, like completely shut him down,” then-Mavericks director of quantitative research and development Haralabos Voulgaris said on Bill Simmons’ podcast in 2022 “Now that was something that was devastating to the Mavs’ ability to win games. You just basically take away your second-best offensive player because Batum’s on him. That’s tough to deal with.”

On Saturday at Madison Square Garden, Brunson and Batum will meet in the first round again, and they’re both riding high. Brunson, the New York Knicks’ leading man, just finished the best regular season of his career, one that will earn him his first All-NBA nod and a place on many MVP ballots. Batum, the Philadelphia 76ers’ jack-of-all-trades, just became a postseason hero by making six 3s and blocking Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro’s crunch-time 3 in the play-in.

Batum will likely spend some time guarding Brunson, but it isn’t 2021 anymore. That was Brunson’s first playoff series, and while he was indeed Dallas’ second-best playmaker — and one of the league’s best backups — this was a full year before he exploded for 41 points with Luka Doncic sidelined against the Utah Jazz. In a couple of ways, his struggles against the Clippers directly led to him becoming the superstar he is now: Dallas decided not to offer him the four-year, $55 million contract he was eligible for the following summer, and Brunson didn’t want to experience a series like that ever again.

“It sat with me all summer,” Brunson told reporters at training camp the next season. A little less than a year ago, during his first playoff series with the Knicks, he told Fox Sports’ Yaron Weitzman, “I wouldn’t really trade any experience for anything. Knowing how I played that series and knowing what I could have done, what could have been better, that kind of was always on my mind. And it still is.”

Brunson has made a case for Most Improved Player in each of the three seasons since. He is a radically different, more confident player than the one who looked hesitant against Batum, and he’s in a totally different team context. He’s still 6-foot-2, but he and the Knicks are used to opposing teams putting bigger, longer defenders on him. Brunson is aggressive against them, physical with them and usually able to get where he wants to go.

Long renowned for his footwork, Brunson has proven this year that he’s one of the toughest covers in the NBA. He’s insanely crafty, but all the focus on his pivots and pump fakes might have overshadowed his ballhandling, first step and pure bucket-getting. This season, he upped his usage rate from 26.6% to 31.1% (sixth in the league among qualified players) and his efficiency barely budged.

Compared to his Dallas days, he’s way better at drawing fouls, somehow even better at taking care of the ball and a totally different kind of threat as a shooter. As well as making 44.5% of his catch-and-shoot 3s this season, the only two players who attempted more than his 4.3 pull-up 3s per and shot a better than his 37.4% on them were Doncic and James Harden. (On a per-possession basis, he shot pull-up 3s almost four times as frequently as he did in 2020-21.)

Recently, Brunson has diversified his game out of necessity. After fellow All-Star Julius Randle suffered what turned out to be a season-ending injury in January, opponents started defending Brunson more aggressively. New York countered this by getting him off the ball, where he is excellent at relocating for 3s and using opponents’ ball-denial against them.

The Sixers could choose to blitz him, but he’s seen that coverage more than anyone except Doncic (and he’s seen lots of switch-and-double, too). He’ll either get rid of the ball quickly, or he’ll drag out the double team and further compromise the defense; either way, the Knicks will end up with a 4-on-3.

While Batum deserves credit for his work that 2021 series, it wasn’t all him. The Clippers switched out of that matchup plenty, but they were willing to do that because they usually had other elite wing defenders — i.e. Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, Terance Mann — on the floor at the same time. Philadelphia’s roster is constructed differently; Brunson will be able to target Tyrese Maxey and Buddy Hield, and he’ll test Joel Embiid’s willingness to come up high against pick-and-rolls.

So what exactly should the Sixers do? The short answer is that it might not matter: Brunson has become the kind of player for whom there isn’t exactly a solution. Last week, the Boston Celtics, who do have a bunch of elite wing defenders and finished with the league’s second-best defense this season, tried multiple primary defenders, tried switching, tried dropping when he went at Kristaps Porzingis, tried pressuring him full-court and tried blitzing him. In 30 minutes, he scored 39 points on 15-for-23 shooting, his second-lowest scoring total in New York’s final five games.

There may not be anyone in the NBA in more of a groove entering the playoffs. In the last month of the regular season, Brunson averaged a league-high 35.1 points per game — 3.5 more than Doncic, No. 2, who averaged 1.6 more minutes — on 59.8% true shooting, plus 7.4 assists and only 2.4 turnovers.

Generally speaking, though, it is still best to put length on Brunson if you have the personnel. Even if you do that, though, you need to try to pack the paint. This is how Philadelphia forced him into seven turnovers and 5-for-18 shooting on Feb. 22, and coach Nick Nurse took this to an extreme on March 10, opting to “weak” the pick-and-roll — i.e. force Brunson to his right hand, ironically a variation of the “ice” coverage popularized by Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau — and totally ignore both Josh Hart and Precious Achiuwa on the perimeter. The Sixers held Brunson to 19 points on 6-for-22 shooting, limited New York to a season-low (by any team) 73 points and won the game.

In a rematch two days later, however, OG Anunoby returned from injury and took Achiuwa’s place in the starting lineup, making that particular strategy untenable. The Knicks won in a blowout.

Based on the regular-season matchups and the fact that Batum came off the bench in the play-in, Batum will probably not be Brunson’s primary defender on New York’s first offensive possession on Saturday. That job will likely fall to 6-foot-7 forward Kelly Oubre Jr., whose wingspan is two inches longer than Batum’s. Don’t be surprised if Nurse has the Sixers pre-switching in order to keep length on Brunson (and keep Maxey, Hield and Embiid away from him) and throws a box-and-1 out there at some point, but don’t be surprised if they surrender some switches and put the 6-foot Kyle Lowry on him at times, either.

Limiting this version of Brunson, like limiting any superstar, is more about collectively keeping him out of his comfort zone than shutting him down, and Philadelphia’s success in this regard might have more to do with how Hart and Miles McBride shoot from 3-point range than how Oubre and Batum hold up at the point of attack. Defending Brunson was never strictly a one-man job, and it sure as hell isn’t now.

Top DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy basketball picks on Friday, April 19 include Bam Adebayo

The Bulls and the Kings are both coming off victories in the 2024 NBA Play-In Tournament in must-win scenarios, whereas the Heat and Pelicans are coming off losses in their first play-in contests. Now that all four teams find themselves in must-win positions to secure the final spots in the playoffs, how will their previous performances carry over to Friday night and affect those in the NBA DFS player pool? Coby White exploded for 42 points, nine rebounds and six assists after never scoring more than 37 in a game, but can daily Fantasy basketball players expect a performance like that against Miami’s No. 3 defense?

With Zion Williamson (hamstring) and Jimmy Butler (knee) both out on Friday, daily Fantasy basketball players will have to significantly alter their NBA DFS strategy. What opportunities will their absences provide for lower-priced players in the NBA DFS player pool on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings? Jonas Valanciunas averaged 17 points and 10.4 rebounds over 12 games without Williamson in the lineup, compared to 12.2 points and 8.8 rebounds on the season, so should you include him in NBA DFS lineups? Before making your NBA DFS picks, be sure to check out the NBA DFS advice, player rankings, stacks, and top daily Fantasy basketball picks from SportsLine’s Jimmie Kaylor.

Kaylor is a DFS and betting expert for SportsLine, who won a DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest in 2022. He uses a combination of his background as a former college and professional athlete and his keen eye for statistical trends when making his picks and locking in his DFS lineups. Kaylor enters the 2024 calendar year with multiple five-figure tournament cashes on his DFS resume.

Kaylor’s approach allows him to find the best NBA DFS values and create optimal lineups that he only shares on SportsLine. They’re a must-see for any NBA DFS player.

Last Friday (when Kaylor last made picks), Kaylor highlighted Timberwolves center Naz Reid as one of his top picks in his NBA DFS player pool on both sites. The result: Reid had 19 points and three rebounds, two assists and a block, returning 27.75 points on DraftKings and 26.6 points on FanDuel as one of the better values in the NBA DFS player pool. Anybody who included him in their lineups was well on the way to a profitable day.

Kaylor has turned his attention to NBA action on Friday and locked in his top daily Fantasy basketball picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.

Top NBA DFS picks for Friday, April 19
For Friday, one of Kaylor’s top NBA DFS picks is Heat center Bam Adebayo ($8,700 on DraftKings and $8.500 on FanDuel). Adebayo had 10 points, 12 rebounds and two blocks in Miami’s 105-104 loss to the 76ers on Wednesday. Now with Butler out, the Heat will need Adebayo to take on a larger scoring role, which he’s proven capable of doing. Adebayo had a tough matchup against Joel Embiid on Wednesday, and although the Bulls also have size in the middle with Nikola Vucevic and Andre Drummond, it won’t be as challenging as going up against Embiid while straining energy guarding him defensively.

Adebayo averaged 19.3 points and 10.4 rebounds this season as one of just 13 players in the NBA to average a double-double. Clint Capela had 22 points and 17 rebounds against the Bulls on Tuesday, and Adebayo can take advantage of similar matchups on Friday. Adebayo averaged 22.1 points, 11.3 rebounds and 4.8 assists over 21 games without Butler in the lineup this season.

Another part of McClure’s optimal NBA DFS strategy includes rostering Kings guard Keon Ellis ($5,000 on DraftKings and $5,600 on FanDuel). Ellis had 15 points, four rebounds, five assists, three steals and three blocks in a win over the Warriors in their first play-in tournament contest. He was a contributor in all facets offensively and defensively both for the Kings and in generating points for NBA DFS lineups. It was his third straight game with multiple steals and second straight with multiple blocks as his defensive contributions make him an asset for NBA DFS picks even on days when De’Aaron Fox or Domantas Sabonis may dominate the scoring.

Ellis, an undrafted player out of Alabama in his second NBA season, didn’t start playing substantial minutes until March but quickly proved he should be in the rotation. Ellis averaged 8.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, two assists and 1.6 steals over 23 games since March 1. Kevin Huerter (shoulder) and Malik Monk (knee) remain out for the Kings as Ellis has seen his role increase without them on the floor. Kaylor thinks Ellis has a great chance at providing value at his price point and by using him in NBA DFS lineups, you’ll also be able to afford some of the higher-priced options in the NBA DFS player pool. See Kaylor’s other NBA DFS picks right here.

How to set your NBA DFS lineups for Friday, April 19
Kaylor is also targeting a player who could go off for massive numbers on Friday because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.

Time’s up for short-handed Heat as Pelicans quell De’Aaron Fox

Now that the 2024 NBA postseason has begun, the basketball betting market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports will be providing daily picks for the duration of the postseason. Sam Quinn will make at least one pick for every game between now and the NBA Finals.

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat
Alex Caruso is questionable due to an ankle injury. He’s Chicago’s entire defense—Bulls lineups without him decline by seven points per 100 possessions, according to Cleaning the Glass. If ever you were going to go into an elimination game without your defense, it would be against this version of the Miami Heat. They already ranked 22nd in offense on the season. Now they enter this game without Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier. Lineups featuring neither scored a paltry 112 points per 100 possessions. Duncan Robinson was listed as available against the 76ers but ultimately didn’t play. If he’s out too, that lineup figure drops further to 109.3 points per 100 possessions. If a do-or-die game is close, would you rather have the likely Clutch Player of the Year in DeMar DeRozan and one of the Most Improved Player favorites in Coby White leading the way? Or… Tyler Herro? Caleb Martin? Bam Adebayo is a fantastic player who has grown meaningfully on offense this year. He’s not someone you should be running your offense through in a do-or-die situation. The Pick: Bulls +1.5

Caruso’s injury takes an easy under off the table, but that’s still the pick here. The Bulls scored only 1.015 points per possession against zone defenses this season, which was below league-average. We saw just how much an unexpected zone can throw an opponent off in the Philly game, and it’s potentially even deadlier to Chicago, given its reluctance to shoot 3’s, which is the best answer against a zone. Expect Erik Spoelstra to come up with some creative defensive wrinkles around that zone defense to try to flummox Chicago. It won’t lead to a win, but it will limit the point total. The Pick: Under 205

Bam Adebayo attempted 14 3-pointers in his first 54 games this season. He then shot 14-of-28 from 3-point range in his last 17 games. He’s clearly at least become comfortable enough from deep to try when he’s left wide open. Chicago starts a very immobile center in Nikola Vucevic, so odds are, Adebayo is going to have chances to try. With a plus-money line, I like the odds of Bam hitting at least one triple. The Pick: Adebayo Over 0.5 3-Pointers

Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
Obviously, the absence of Zion Williamson matters here… but the Pelicans went 5-0 against the Kings this season and are somehow underdogs at home despite Sacramento missing Malik Monk and Kevin Huerter. The biggest reason for New Orleans’ success in this matchup isn’t Williamson. It’s Herb Jones. When defended by Jones this season, De’Aaron Fox has shot 40.7% from the floor and 27.3% on 3-pointers. If Monk and Huerter were healthy, the Kings would have ways of countering that matchup. Right now, Sacramento’s offense is so dependent on Fox for creation that Jones defending him this well poses an enormous threat to their entire offense. The Pick: Pelicans +1.5

We’ve already covered why I’m bullish on the New Orleans defense. Sacramento has been playing great defense for two solid months now. They have the NBA’s No. 3 ranked defense since March 1 and just held the Warriors to 94 points in the first Play-In game. Williamson’s brute force was the Pelicans’ best answer for Sacramento’s smaller lineup, but without him, scoring won’t be easy for them either. New Orleans has other answers, but don’t expect this to be a shootout. The Pick: Under 212

Keon Ellis is the one offensive player I do like in this matchup. He’s hit double-figures in four of his last five games and is averaging 15.2 points in that stretch. He’s grown into a deceptively effective secondary ball-handler and his confidence on jumpers is through the roof right now. Fox is desperately going to need escape valves with Jones defending him, and I expect Ellis to be the beneficiary. The Pick: Ellis Over 10.5 Points